Variety The Awards Circuit section brings together all the news about awards and related content throughout the year, including the following: official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards, hosted by Variety awards editor Clayton Davis. Predictions pages reflect the current race standings and do not reflect the personal preferences of any individual competitor. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.
Visit the respective ceremony prediction pages via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMY | GRAMMYS | TONY
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series
Last of Us Season 1, Episode 2 Bella Ramsey Credit: Liane Hentscher/HBO
Weekly Commentary (Updated: July 10, 2023): Ballots are now in the hands of Television Academy members, and a new voting method that limits the number of shows a member can vote for has created uncertainty in the race.
This is a change from the rule introduced in 2017 which gave members unlimited choices on the nomination ballot.
Read: Variety Awards circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in major categories.
Could 2023 be the year of its kind? They include “The Boys” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” from Amazon Prime Video, “House of the Dragon” and “The Last of Us” from HBO, “Yellowjackets” from Showtime, “Andor” and “The Mandalorian,” Paramount+’s “Star Trek: Picard,” Netflix’s “The Sandman,” and AMC’s “Interview with the Vampire.”
Two years ago, Prime Video’s “The Boys” became the first-ever comic book adaptation to land a Best Drama Series nomination in the Emmy race.
As HBO just celebrated its 50th anniversary, if those early projections are inaccurate and “House of the Dragon” becomes the fourth in its drama series to land a name, it would tie the record held by NBC since 1992, which received four series names.
Read: Variety Circuit of the rewards for the last creative arts predictions in all categories.
The nomination vote is now open to the more than 20,000 members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Wednesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA Strike) on Monday, September 18 at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT. on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9-10.
And the expected nominees are:
- “Dragon House” (HBO)
- “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
Other high-level possibilities
- “Yellowstone(Paramount Network)
- “The Mandalorian” (Disney+)
- “The old man” (FX)
- “The diplomat” (Netflix)
- “bad sisters” (Apple TV+)
- “The boys” (First video)
- “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (First video)
- “Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story” (Netflix)
- “Law and order(NBC)
- “9-1-1” (Fox)
All eligible titles (literate by network)**
** This official list and/or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 Category Winner: “Succession” (HBO) — Season 3 — Jesse Armstrong, Adam McKay, Will Ferrell, Frank Rich, Kevin Messick, Mark Mylod, Jane Tranter, Tony Roche, Scott Ferguson, Jon Brown, Lucy Prebble, Will Tracy (executive producers) ; Georgia Pritchett, Ted Cohen (co-executive producers); Susan Soon He Stanton, Dara Schnapper (supervising producers); Gabrielle Mahon (produced by); Francesca Gardiner (consulting producer)
Emmy Awards Prediction Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGICAL SERIES | TV FILM | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEADING ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEADING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SECONDARY ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTION (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED FILM/TV) | REALITY (CONTEST, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are presented by the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American prime-time television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (recognizes achievement in craftsmanship), and Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant contributions in engineering and technology). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy has over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.